Odds To Win Election Live
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The most straightforward political prop bet for the US election is simply 'Who will win the 2020 US presidential election?' Odds are then presented; currently, Trump is at +175 and Biden is at -200. This makes Trump the underdog, and for you, that means if you bet $100 on Trump winning, and he does, you win $175 (on top of your initial stake.
© Spencer Platt/Getty Images Supporters pray at a President Donald Trump rally on November 02, 2020 in Avoca, Pennsylvania. Donald Trump crossed the crucial state in the last days of campaigning.2020 Election Odds, 2020 Presadent Betting Presidential Election Odds 2021 Live. With the now Live in-PLay the 2021 Election has been the nail biter one would have expected, had it not been for the over ambitious democratic poling. Heading into Tuesday morning, Democratic candidate Joe Biden entered the race as a strong favorite, with betting site Action Network giving the former vice president a 61.4% chance of winning.
Fluctuations in the betting markets have seen Joe Biden gain ground on Donald Trump in the presidential contest as well as the critical battleground state of Pennsylvania after the Democratic nominee had trailed the president earlier on Wednesday, according to a leading bookmaker.
Having placed Trump to win the presidency in the early hours of Wednesday, Betfair later said Biden was back out in front with odds of 1-2 (implying a 66 percent chance) after going in front in Wisconsin.
Donald Trump is now priced at 2-1 (33 percent chance) to win re-election after having odds as short as 1-4 (80 percent chance) earlier today.
Rapidly changing odds reflected a growing uncertainty over who would win four years in the White House, with Trump having been odds-on favorite overnight to win Pennsylvania—a crucial step towards winning the presidency.
Overnight, Trump was priced at 2-9 to take the industrial northeastern state for a second consecutive election, after he narrowly won in 2016 to become the first Republican to win a presidential contest there since 1988.
According to Betfair, the president's odds implied an 82 percent chance of securing Pennsylvania's 20 Electoral College votes. However that switched later on Wednesday with the bookmaker offering evens (50 percent chance) for both men to win the state's backing.
A Betfair spokesperson said: 'Joe Biden is now back in front and the 1-2 favourite to be elected president as more news unfolds from the key swing states in the United States.
'Taking the lead in Wisconsin could be the turning point with the Democrat now also projected to win Nevada and Arizona, which would likely give him the 270 electoral college votes he needs for victory.
'Donald Trump, whose chance of re-election moved to as high as 1-4 (80 percent chance) earlier today, is now out to a 2-1 shot as votes continue to be counted. But with an election of this magnitude and particularly one involving Trump, as we know, nothing is impossible.'
As of 7 a.m. ET, Trump was leading by 55.1 percent to 43.6 percent in the vote tally in Pennsylvania, with an estimated 75 percent of votes counted. However a large proportion of the uncounted votes are mail-in ballots, which are expected to favor Biden.
Pennsylvania has seen numerous legal battles play out, including over voters being allowed to fix problems with their ballots, and the decision to expand mail-in voting means it could be hours if not days until a winner is officially announced.
Speaking after the polls closed, Pennsylvania's Democratic Governor Tom Wolf urged his constituents to 'remain calm, be patient, [and] stay united on election night and in the days ahead.'
Early on Wednesday morning he tweeted that his state had more than 1 million ballots still to be counted and said he had made a promise to Pennsylvanians 'that we would count every vote and that's what we're going to do.'
Letâs be clear: This is a partisan attack on Pennsylvaniaâs elections, our votes, and democracy.
Our counties are working tirelessly to process votes as quickly AND as accurately as possible.
Pennsylvania will have a fair election and we will count every vote.
— Governor Tom Wolf (@GovernorTomWolf) November 4, 2020Odds To Win Election Live Results
Pennsylvania has long been touted as a crucial state to win, not just for its sizable number of Electoral College votes but what indication it gives about the general direction of travel in the U.S. presidential contest.
Both Biden and Trump ploughed vast amounts of money and time into the state, including in the dying days of the campaign. Trump held four rallies across Pennsylvania on Saturday alone while Biden opted for a symbolic return to his hometown of Scranton on election day.
A source close to the Biden campaign told Newsweek last month that the state was 'driving everyone's strategy,' adding: 'We'll probably win here. But if we don't, we are so screwed.'
Polling and political analysis website FiveThirtyEight has described Pennsylvania as the 'single most important state of the 2020 election.'
Election Betting Odds
By Maxim Lott and John Stossel
Hover over candidate pics for market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.
Odds for this page are averaged between FTX.com, Betfair and Smarkets
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0.4% -0.1% |
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25.6% |
54.0% +0.0% |
42.5% +0.0% |
3.5% |
22.4% 0.2% |
11.3% +0.0% |
10.0% +0.0% |
7.5% 0.1% |
4.8% 0.1% |
4.1% 0.1% |
3.7% -0.2% |
2.9% +0.0% |
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2.7% 0.2% |
2.5% 0.3% |
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2.0% +0.0% |
1.6% +0.0% |
0.8% +0.0% |
15.8% |
By John Stossel | By Nate Silver | By Burton Malkiel | By Maajid Nawaz | By Yeonmi Park |
Live Odds To Win The Election
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